Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#310
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#305
Pace72.8#102
Improvement+3.1#56

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#217
First Shot-0.4#187
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#292
Layup/Dunks-0.2#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#223
Freethrows+1.2#92
Improvement-1.9#270

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#340
First Shot-7.3#343
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#239
Layups/Dunks-1.3#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#294
Freethrows-4.5#347
Improvement+5.0#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 1   @ Kansas L 72-109 0.5%    0 - 1 -12.8 -2.7 -3.3
  Nov 21, 2015 328   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-81 69%     0 - 2 -24.2 -10.1 -14.3
  Nov 22, 2015 228   Austin Peay L 76-91 38%     0 - 3 -21.8 +2.9 -25.7
  Nov 25, 2015 147   Nebraska Omaha L 85-105 22%     0 - 4 -21.9 -6.9 -11.4
  Nov 29, 2015 47   @ Colorado L 52-82 3%     0 - 5 -16.6 -13.0 -2.9
  Dec 03, 2015 234   @ UC Riverside L 66-77 21%     0 - 6 -12.4 -9.2 -2.7
  Dec 13, 2015 142   Colorado St. W 73-64 21%     1 - 6 +7.5 -7.2 +14.4
  Dec 16, 2015 191   Denver L 77-81 31%     1 - 7 -8.8 +10.4 -19.7
  Dec 21, 2015 293   @ Jacksonville St. L 76-79 34%     1 - 8 -8.8 +5.8 -14.8
  Dec 23, 2015 73   Mississippi St. L 69-93 6%     1 - 9 -16.3 -2.8 -12.6
  Dec 31, 2015 205   Eastern Washington W 96-90 34%     2 - 9 1 - 0 +0.2 +10.5 -10.5
  Jan 02, 2016 217   Idaho L 70-75 36%     2 - 10 1 - 1 -11.3 -2.6 -8.8
  Jan 07, 2016 276   @ Idaho St. L 78-83 30%     2 - 11 1 - 2 -9.5 -2.5 -6.5
  Jan 09, 2016 146   @ Weber St. L 68-85 10%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -13.1 -1.2 -11.9
  Jan 14, 2016 153   Montana L 66-73 23%     2 - 13 1 - 4 -9.1 -10.8 +2.0
  Jan 16, 2016 252   Montana St. W 78-76 44%     3 - 13 2 - 4 -6.4 -3.3 -3.1
  Jan 21, 2016 342   @ Southern Utah W 90-80 56%     4 - 13 3 - 4 -1.5 +0.8 -3.2
  Jan 23, 2016 345   @ Northern Arizona W 84-79 58%     5 - 13 4 - 4 -7.0 +0.4 -7.7
  Jan 30, 2016 200   North Dakota W 71-70 33%     6 - 13 5 - 4 -4.3 -4.3 -0.1
  Feb 04, 2016 146   Weber St. L 54-64 22%     6 - 14 5 - 5 -11.9 -16.0 +3.6
  Feb 06, 2016 276   Idaho St. L 57-90 51%     6 - 15 5 - 6 -43.3 -18.9 -25.3
  Feb 11, 2016 217   @ Idaho L 67-73 19%     6 - 16 5 - 7 -6.5 +3.0 -10.1
  Feb 13, 2016 205   @ Eastern Washington L 80-97 17%     6 - 17 5 - 8 -16.9 -6.4 -8.8
  Feb 20, 2016 200   @ North Dakota L 73-74 16%     6 - 18 5 - 9 -0.5 -3.5 +3.1
  Feb 25, 2016 278   Sacramento St. W 72-67 52%     7 - 18 6 - 9 -5.5 -3.6 -1.8
  Feb 27, 2016 259   Portland St. L 86-89 46%     7 - 19 6 - 10 -12.0 -0.6 -11.2
  Mar 03, 2016 252   @ Montana St. L 63-81 24%     7 - 20 6 - 11 -20.6 -12.2 -9.0
  Mar 05, 2016 153   @ Montana W 78-72 11%     8 - 20 7 - 11 +9.7 +12.7 -2.6
  Mar 08, 2016 259   Portland St. L 67-74 35%     8 - 21 -13.1 -11.5 -1.5
Projected Record 8.0 - 21.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%